Recession Tracker

The finest indicator of U.S. GDP shrinkage & growth

Welcome to our most dispiriting market aggregate yet!

We’re starting off with the binary matter of whether the U.S. will experience 2 consecutive quarters of negative real economic growth in 2025, but will add some more doodads (e.g. mean quarterly and full-year growth forecasts) as additional markets come online and achieve meaningful volume.

For automated alerts when this market moves, follow @TheSuper_Model.