Archive - The Super Model

March 2025

Let's see if we can't resurrect a few bits of it

Mar 6 •

The Super Model

February 2025

January 2025

The finest indicator of who'll win that matchup at the Superdome on February 9

Jan 18 •

The Super Model

December 2024

Speaker of the House

The finest indicator of who'll be the 1st elected Speaker of the 119th Congress

Dec 19, 2024 •

The Super Model

Interview: Flip Pidot from The Super Model

On the past, present, and future of prediction markets

Published on Authentic Intel • Dec 17, 2024

Interview with Harry Crane

2024's top presidential handicapper spills his secrets

Dec 4, 2024 •

The Super Model

,

, and

31:07

November 2024

Trump Chaos Index

Quantifying the policy uncertainty of Trump's 2nd term

Nov 27, 2024 •

The Wages of Election Modeling: Harry Crane vs. Super Model

Putting forecasters to the test by simulating the gains (or losses) you'd make trading their recommendations on Polymarket every day

Nov 22, 2024 •

The Wages of Election Modeling: Manifold vs. Metaculus

Putting forecasters to the test by simulating the gains (or losses) you'd make trading their recommendations on Polymarket every day

Nov 19, 2024 •

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